The upcoming nuclear talks between the United States and Iran carry high stakes, as Israel and the U.S. view Iran as a rogue regime pursuing weapons of mass destruction. Iran’s leadership faces a dilemma between giving up its nuclear aspirations, leaving it vulnerable, or continuing nuclear development and risking an attack. The talks, initially described as direct by Trump, will likely be indirect for now to establish communication bridges and understand each other’s positions. The U.S. has taken a tough stance with fresh sanctions and the threat of military action if negotiations fail. Trump has resumed efforts to end Iran’s nuclear program, which he sees as insufficiently addressed by the 2015 nuclear deal. Iran has denied seeking nuclear weapons, despite escalating uranium enrichment. Internationally, Iran’s allies in the region have been weakened, increasing pressure on Tehran. Negotiations this weekend will focus on whether Iran will give up its nuclear program entirely. Failure to reach a deal may lead to war, although both sides are using the talks to assess each other’s intentions. With Iran’s proxies weakened and air defenses damaged, Israel and U.S. hawks see an opportunity for military action against Iran’s nuclear facilities. The outcome of the talks will have far-reaching implications for regional security and the balance of power in the Middle East.
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